11.06.2006

A sprawl chicken vs. egg

Which comes first?

"It has been widely observed that urban sprawl is associated with higher rates of obesity. This observation has led many researchers to infer that urban sprawl causes obesity. The available evidence does not, in fact, permit this conclusion. The higher observed rates of obesity associated with urban sprawl are also consistent with the sorting of obese people into sprawling neighborhoods. In this paper we conduct an analysis which permits us to distinguish between these two possibilities.

Our results strongly suggest that urban sprawl does not cause weight gain. Rather, people who are more likely to be obese (e.g., because they have an idiosyncratic distaste for walking) are also more likely to move to sprawling neighborhoods (e.g., because they can more easily move around by car). Of course the built environment may still place constraints on the type of exercise that people are able to take or the nature of the diet that they consume. The key point is that individuals who have a lower propensity to being obese will choose to avoid those kinds of neighborhoods. What if they are not always able to avoid those neighborhoods because (say) their choice is constrained for financial reasons? Our results suggest that, even then, individuals adjust their exercise and diet to avoid gaining weight. Overall, we find no evidence that neighborhood characteristics have any causal effect on weight."
From a report by University of Toronto, London School of Economics and Unversitat Pompeu Fabra, "Fat City: Questioning the Relationship Between Urban Sprawl and Obesity" (pdf)

Seems like all the more reason to make walking more a pleasure than a chore.

1 comments:

Red Jenny said...

I appreciate the attempt to find causation rather than simply correlation, but to me, it appears to be a poor study. From what I read of the study, it only followed the individuals for 6 years.

What about kids who grow up in the suburbs - more or less likely to be inactive, to prefer car culture?

I believe people do choose the suburbs due to preference for a certain kind of lifestyle, which includes the car as the primary mode of transportation, but I don't think that is the entire story.

Maybe follow-up studies will tell us more!